Model performance

Certification is reported exactly as recorded. Failures are not softened.

Authority certification status

Every engine in the stack, with its recorded verdict.

Phase 2
Feature & opponent adjustment
Point-in-time feature receipts with a hard price firewall.
Certified
Phase 3
Team identity
Deterministic identity receipts per game.
Certified
Phase 4
Quarterback intelligence
Role, quality and pressure response.
Certified
Phase 5
Trench intelligence
Offensive line and defensive front units.
Certified
Phase 6
Skill & personnel
Usage concentration and replacement sensitivity.
Certified
Phase 7
Situation & environment
Rest, travel, surface and weather context.
Certified
Phase 8
Matchup intelligence
22 structural interaction axes.
Certified
Phase 9
Game script intelligence
Scenario distribution over plausible game states.
Certified
Phase 10
Probability simulation V1
Failed baseline superiority honesty. Closed and never used for pricing.
Not certified
Phase 10.1
Week-1 prior support authority
Support-class discrimination unproven on the untouched holdout.
Not certified
Phase 11
Market & value intelligence
Prospective only. Withholds whenever football support is insufficient.
Certified